Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter

The most obvious way for monetary policy to end badly is for investors of all stripes to suffer a prolonged bout of financial market adversity. Losses in risky assets will dissipate investor confidence, undermine economic activity, and leave the Fed with little choice other than to step on the accelerator for more easy money. It is in the midst of this sequence that we expect investors to rediscover gold in a big way.

Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter

In our view, gold is exceptionally cheap at the moment because the radical monetary policies practiced by the world’s leading central banks have led to an egregious mispricing of risk by investors at large. We believe that the Fed’s continuing (and increasingly glaring) inability to normalize interest rates validates our long standing thesis that monetary extremism cannot be unwound without triggering a slew of unacceptably painful consequences for the holders of risk assets and bonds. The dollar gold price has been the main loser from the resurgence of confidence in financial assets and the resultant multiyear rally. Once investors discover that there is a bite to the “risk” in risk assets, gold could be the big winner.