Bull run for gold sheer fantasy or is it forming the base for the next upward leg?

Gold has been unable to trade above the main downtrend line, and the layer of resistance continues to grow in the $1300-$1350 ranges. The longer it takes a market to trade above a specific zone the stronger the resistance becomes; conversely when it eventually does manage to close above this zone former resistance will turn into support. In the interim, it looks like Gold is headed lower and a weekly close below $1200 could take it as low as $1100. As of Dec 2016, Gold has been putting in higher lows, and as long as this trend is maintained, then the overall long-term outlook will remain neutral. To change the outlook to bullish, Gold needs to close above $1350 on a monthly basis.

Bull run for gold sheer fantasy or is it forming the base for the next upward leg?