Tag - Market Timing

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Wednesday, August 15 2018

It's Time for Contrarians to Get Bullish on Gold

Gold can’t seem to catch a break. The yellow metal normally acts as a safe haven in times of political and economic strife, but in the face of Turkey’s lira meltdown, investors have taken cover instead in the U.S. dollar. On Monday, the stronger greenback pushed gold to end below $1,200 an ounce for the first time since January 2017.

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Tuesday, August 14 2018

Gold: Bearish fundamentals, bullish sentiment

For the first time this year, about two weeks ago the sentiment backdrop became decisively supportive of the gold price and remains so. At the same time, the fundamental backdrop is unequivocally bearish for gold. What will be the net effect of these counteracting forces?

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Monday, May 14 2018

Incomplete silver COT analysis

The upshot is that silver’s COT situation was not price-supportive at any stage over the past two months. This is mainly because the bullish implications of the unusually-low net-long exposure of large specs was counteracted by the bearish implications of the unusually-high net-long exposure of small specs.

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Sunday, May 13 2018

The Truth About Gold That Neither Bugs Nor Bulls Like to Admit

The reason for this concerns the fact that the world is now in a completely fiat-based financial system in which Central Banks can print tens of billions of their currencies at a whim. This opens the door to abject manipulation of Gold prices.

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Go Long Gold to Short the Whole System

Chris Irons, founder of Quoth the Raven Research makes his pitch for being long gold as a way to “Short the Whole Fucking Thing”

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Thursday, May 10 2018

Gold Love Trade Looks Promising in India and China

Gold has been under pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar, and May has historically delivered lower prices. As I’ve pointed out before, this makes it an ideal entry point in anticipation of a late summer rally before Diwali and the Indian wedding season, during which gifts of gold jewelry are considered auspicious. Demand in China for the remainder of the year also looks promising.

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Sunday, May 6 2018

One Of These Things Is Not Like The Others

Many gold bulls are frustrated that during last year’s U.S. dollar decline, the precious metal didn’t rally more strongly.

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Wednesday, May 2 2018

This Billionaire Has Put Half His Net Worth Into Gold

Some big investors see warning signs ahead for markets but are holding their positions. Egyptian billionaire Naguib Sawiris is taking action: He’s put half of his $5.7 billion net worth into gold.

He said in an interview Monday that he believes gold prices will rally further, reaching $1,800 per ounce from just above $1,300 now, while “overvalued” stock markets crash.

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Friday, April 27 2018

The coming boom in gold prices

Inflation is a HUGE problem. And the traditional hedge in times of inflation is GOLD.

So when demand for gold really starts to heat up, the supply won’t be there.

And this could really cause the gold price to soar.

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Gold Demand Grows While Mine Supply Declines

The long-term play is simple: gold demand is growing worldwide, and supply is decreasing.

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Wednesday, April 25 2018

DoubleLine's Gundlach says U.S. Treasuries 'not attractive'

Gundlach said gold prices, which have broken their downtrend line, were on the verge of breaking out to the upside. “It’s getting almost exciting ... something big is happening,” he said.

“Gold is maintaining an upward pattern above its rising 200-day moving average, which is extremely good,” he added.

Based on classic chart reading, Gundlach said an “explosive, potential energy” of a huge “head-and-shoulders bottom” base was signaling a move of $1,000 in gold prices.

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Tuesday, April 17 2018

"They Know What's Going To Happen" - Governments, Big Banks Are Stockpiling Gold

The stage is set for higher gold prices due to the amount of money being printed… I am of the belief a major reset is coming where the governments of the world will need to get rid of their debt by fixing everything to the price of gold

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Sunday, April 15 2018

Morgan Stanley Goes Full "Tinfoil": Use Gold As Proxy For The "True Value Of A Dollar"

Due to the many criticisms and changing methodologies of the consumer price index as a true measure of inflation, we use the price of gold as a very good proxy of the true value of a dollar over long periods of time.

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Wednesday, April 11 2018

Gundlach: Gold on the Verge of “Thousand Dollar” Breakout

Jeff Gundlach, who currently manages over $100B at DoubleLine Capital, said “Gold is negatively correlated with the dollar. We see that gold broke above its downtrend line. But now we see a massive base building in gold. Massive. It’s a four-year, five-year base in gold. If we break above this resistance line one can expect gold to go up by, like, a thousand dollars.

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Tuesday, April 10 2018

Gold’s Dot Plot

To conclude, we believe that 2018 will mark a significant turn in the financial markets, which will be adverse for conventional, consensus-based investment strategies and quite positive for gold and other safe-haven assets. It is quite likely, in our view, that a new up-cycle for gold could register new highs for the metal price (up at least 50%) and gains of 100% or more for many precious-metals mining shares. In a financial world that has been no table for disruptive change, there remains one constant: human nature and the resulting inevitable ebb and flow of greed and fear. Gold, a proven antidote to systemic risk, is in our view likely to return to favor.

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Friday, April 6 2018

Gold price to EXPLODE: Reserves dwindle and US-China trade war talk spark panic

The World Gold Council has claimed that world supply may have peaked in 2017 that when combined with understated inflation and strong demand from China and India, should push prices to $1,500 an ounce by the end of the year from about $1,327 now, according to Frank Holmes, chief executive officer of US Global Investors Inc.

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Saturday, March 24 2018

Could the Stars Be Aligned for $1,500 Gold?

In a January post, I showed how the price of gold rallied in the months following the 2015 and 2016 December interest rate hikes—as much as 29 percent in the former cycle, 17.8 percent in the latter. Gold ended 2017 up double digits, despite pressure from skyrocketing stocks and massive cryptocurrency speculation.

I forecast then that we could see another "Fed rally" this year following the rate hike in December 2017. Hypothetically, if gold took a similar trajectory as the past two cycles, its price could climb as high as $1,500 this year.

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Thursday, March 22 2018

Another look at gold’s true fundamentals

As far as long-term investors are concerned the gold story is therefore a simple one: gold will be in a bull market when confidence in the financial establishment (money, banks and government) is in a bear market and gold will be in a bear market when confidence in the financial establishment is in a bull market.

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Wednesday, March 21 2018

Paulson Returns Investor Money In Gold

Bloomberg reported the fund's gold and special situations hedge funds are returning client capital "as the firm narrows its focus."

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Saturday, March 17 2018

This $8.8 Billion Fund Sees Financial Stress Spurring a Gold Rally

“With as much debt as there is in the system, if you have a backup in rates, you’re going to see a default wave pretty quickly,” Reik said in an interview at Bloomberg’s headquarters in New York. “You’re going to have personal bankruptcies flare up. Gold really does well when financial stress starts to take takes hold in the system.”

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