Tag - Market Timing
Saturday, March 17 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Saturday, March 17 2018, 04:30
“With as much debt as there is in the system, if you have a backup in rates, you’re going to see a default wave pretty quickly,” Reik said in an interview at Bloomberg’s headquarters in New York. “You’re going to have personal bankruptcies flare up. Gold really does well when financial stress starts to take takes hold in the system.”
Thursday, March 15 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Thursday, March 15 2018, 03:42
World Gold Council Chairman Randall Oliphant has indicated that global gold production may have reach its peak. The time may come soon when the supply is not expected to meet the demand. The price of gold usually rises during times of economic slowdowns. How will the global financial market react when the supply of gold is running low and gold becomes an even rarer commodity?
Until that happens, the supply of gold will remain low and the demand will rise. This means that in the near future, this could serve as a major catalyst moving forward.
Thursday, March 8 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Thursday, March 8 2018, 01:07
The way I see it, one of two things will happen in the coming months. If the economy continues to gain steam, as per yesterday’s post (That’s not a bond bear market), the Fed will lag in raising rates. This will cause real yields to decline as inflation picks up. This will be good for gold, resembling the 1970s period where Fed Chairmen Arthur Burns and Bill Miller neglected to raise the Fed Funds rate as quickly as inflation.
Tuesday, March 6 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Tuesday, March 6 2018, 00:49
Bullish on Gold, the Shares or the Metal?
By GCRU Gold News on Tuesday, March 6 2018, 00:40
In case of emergency, when the boom turns into bust, gold protects the investor against currency debasement and payment defaults. It also entails the chance of an increase in price in times of financial market stress, which would allow the investor to exchange highly priced gold against attractive assets (such as stocks of great companies) that trade at suppressed prices, thereby helping to enhance the investor’s portfolio return.
Wednesday, February 28 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Wednesday, February 28 2018, 03:03
Gold prices could break above $1,400 an ounce for the first time since 2013 this year as an uncertain outlook for stocks, bonds and currencies tempts investors to use the precious metal as a safe haven, according to a Reuters survey of analysts.
Saturday, February 24 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Saturday, February 24 2018, 01:10
Americans aren’t the only ones loading up on debt, though. Last month, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) reported that global debt rose to a record $233 trillion in the third quarter, up $16 trillion in only nine months.
Combined with overstretched asset valuations, these debt loads “could undermine market confidence in the future, with repercussions that could put global growth at risk,” the IMF writes.
I see this growing debt bomb as just the latest sign that investors might want to consider adding to their gold exposure. The yellow metal has been sought as a safe haven during times of economic and systemic market risk
Thursday, February 22 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Thursday, February 22 2018, 00:32
On February 5th, stock markets suffered one of their more precipitous falls in recent years. The gold price rose but, as stocks partly retraced their losses, gold trended lower. Gold has often acted as a portfolio hedge in market downturns and the recent pullback was no exception. But gold's effectiveness improves when market corrections are wider or sustained for longer. In our view, the recent selloff is a good reminder that gold can deliver returns and reduce risk in portfolios.
Wednesday, February 21 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Wednesday, February 21 2018, 01:05
Ironically, this lifelong expert in "all things technology" has concluded that gold (the "barbaric relic") is the sanest asset to put one's capital in these days -- both due to its safety factor and its current level of undervaluation. He expects the precious metals to fare well during the downward market volatility he foresees, and he is now tracking the mining stocks closely as he predicts they will experience dramatic appreciation from here.
Sunday, February 18 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Sunday, February 18 2018, 23:18
My prediction by the end of this year is that gold will hit $2,000. In 2019, $3,000. In 2020, $4,000. By the time this bull market peaks, gold could reach $10,000.
Monday, February 12 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Monday, February 12 2018, 22:09
The gold price has risen about 20% since I wrote “It’s Time To Get Greedy In The Gold Market” but it looks to me like it could now get really exciting for gold bulls.
On the weekly chart there is now a clear head and shoulders bottom pattern in play. A break above the neckline would confirm the pattern and project an eventual target near $1,650.
And if the future for gold rhymes at all with the early-2000’s period it could have much more upside over the next several years than even that head and shoulders bottom pattern would suggest.
Sunday, February 11 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Sunday, February 11 2018, 02:33
Third, and most importantly from the perspective of current and would be gold owners, it is important to understand that in recent history volatility has preceded upward movement in the gold price, as shown in the chart above. Volatility, as ETH Zurich points out in the first quote, may not spike before the crash, but it most certainly has surged in the past before an increase in the price of gold.
Gold has been under cross examination over the past week as to why it hasn’t gone up while stocks have gone down. Just as complacency and low volatility were the “lull before the storm” in the stock and bond markets, the hesitation to buy gold might be a reaction among investors akin to the deer being caught in the headlights. The true reaction – bolting for the woods – might be yet to come, as the chart above indicates.
Tuesday, February 6 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Tuesday, February 6 2018, 22:28
To a large extent, gold’s recent bull run may be the result of the weakening of the U.S. dollar (USD) versus other currencies. The dollar’s weakness is somewhat surprising given expectations for higher rates. Even so, the dollar might further weaken substantially should the markets de-price their anticipation of 2-3 Fed hikes in 2018 and further tightening in 2019.
One must wonder then if gold’s lack of concern about the Fed possibly hiking rates three times in 2018 and an additional two times in 2019 might be positioning the yellow metal for a bull run in the event the Fed’s actual rate hikes fall short of market expectations.
Monday, February 5 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Monday, February 5 2018, 22:40
Not strong, not weak but strategically benign
Thursday, February 1 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Thursday, February 1 2018, 02:35
So instead, my gold price forecast for 2018 will look at the primary factors that impact the gold market to determine if each is likely to push the price higher or lower this year. I’ll conclude with the probable prices I see based on those factors, as well as some long-term projections.
Friday, January 19 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Friday, January 19 2018, 00:45
The popular gold-based exchange traded product, “GLD”, is testing the Down trendline from its 2011 peak.
Tuesday, January 16 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Tuesday, January 16 2018, 10:45
GOLD : AVERAGE : $1358 HIGH : $1400 LOW : $1260
SILVER : AVERAGE : $18.08 HIGH : $19.10 LOW : $15.60
PLATINUM : AVERAGE : $884 HIGH : $1045 LOW : $815
PALLADIUM : AVERAGE : $1355 HIGH : $1500 LOW : $800
Saturday, January 6 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Saturday, January 6 2018, 00:51
We can thank the Fear Trade for much of gold’s performance last year. The Fear Trade, of course, is driven by low to negative real interest rates—when inflation erodes away at government bond yields—deficit spending, a weaker U.S. dollar and geopolitical uncertainty.
By GCRU Gold News on Saturday, January 6 2018, 00:48
In our opinion, when the make-believe world of synthetic gold, algorithmic trading, ETFs, fake interest rates, and passive investment collide with the realities of an uncontrollably rising budget deficit and mismatches between surrogates and underlying assets, gold (the real asset) will benefit. To us, it is obvious that the US and other Western governments are simply printing money to service their own debt. When is the tipping point of public recognition of these facts? Perhaps as soon as 2018 or 2019. The catalysts will be higher inflation and interest rates, and lower financial-market valuations. There is no way to predict the moment, but it seems to us that an eventual loss of confidence in paper currencies, including the US dollar, is inescapable, and most likely coming sooner rather than later. It is not, in our opinion, too soon to embrace exposure to gold.
Thursday, January 4 2018
By GCRU Gold News on Thursday, January 4 2018, 00:34
2017 will be recorded as a transition year for gold; 2018, in my opinion, will go down as the year gold reasserted itself as a primal force in the global financial marketplace.